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Bulls vs Raptors prediction NBA · Thursday, February 5

FinalScotiabank Arena · Prime Video, Sportsnet
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-28 · away
Final score
107-123
Projected: 114-117
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
31-22 · home
40% win CHIwin TOR 60%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin3.2
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Toronto Raptors (30-22) host the Chicago Bulls (24-27) on Thursday, February 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 107 – Raptors 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 14-12 at home and the Bulls are 9-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 5-5 for the Bulls (current streaks: Raptors L1, Bulls L2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 117 – 114 Bulls, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Raptors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)TOR +0.2 / CHI -2.3 per game
+2.5
Home-court advantageRaptors at home
+2.3
Back-to-backRaptors played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Raptors
+3.2

Scenarios

Raptors win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bulls win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

CHITOR
117.3
Points scored / game
113.3
120.0
Points allowed / game
113.0
42.1 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
27.6 %
3-point %
30.4 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.5
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
45.8
24.4
Assists / game
27.3
9.0
Steals / game
14.3
4.8
Blocks / game
5.5
17.8
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Bulls
Anfernee SimonsG · #522pts / game
Yuki KawamuraG · #177assists
Guerschon YabuseleF · #2811rebounds
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #733pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #238assists
Brandon IngramF · #76rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
TOR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHITOR
24-27Record30-22
117.3Points scored / game113.3
120.0Points allowed / game113.0
-2.3Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
9-16 roadHome / road record14-12 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season30-52 (-4.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.