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Raptors vs Bulls prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, Sportsnet, NBA League Pass
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
33-23 · away
Final score
110-101
Projected: 116-115
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-32 · home
53% win TORwin CHI 47%
FavoriteTOR
Projected margin1.0
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (24-31) host the Toronto Raptors (32-23) on Thursday, February 19 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 110 – Bulls 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 15-12 at home and the Raptors are 16-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Bulls and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Bulls L6, Raptors L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bulls 115 – 116 Raptors, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -2.9 / TOR +0.4 per game
-3.3
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-1.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Raptors win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

TORCHI
113.3
Points scored / game
117.0
112.8
Points allowed / game
120.4
44.2 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
30.4 %
3-point %
27.6 %
34.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
79.0 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
45.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.3
Assists / game
24.4
14.3
Steals / game
9.0
5.5
Blocks / game
4.8
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #731pts / game
Brandon IngramF · #76assists
Scottie BarnesF · #49rebounds
Bulls
Anfernee SimonsG · #520pts / game
Tre JonesG · #306assists
Jalen SmithF · #2510rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TOR
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

TORCHI
32-23Record24-31
113.3Points scored / game117.0
112.8Points allowed / game120.4
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-2.9
L1Current streakL6
6-4Last 10 games1-9
16-10 roadHome / road record15-12 home
30-52 (-4.3)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Toronto Raptors Injury report Raptors

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.