Suns vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 17
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-27) host the Phoenix Suns (39-29) on Tuesday, March 17 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 104 – Timberwolves 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 22-12 at home and the Suns are 17-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Timberwolves L1, Suns L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Timberwolves, but the Suns have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Timberwolves 117 – 110 Suns, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' offense (117.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
PHXMIN
Top performers
Suns
Devin BookerG · #1534pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #127assists
Oso IghodaroF · #1110reboundsTimberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3032pts / game
Kyle AndersonF · #126assists
Rudy GobertC · #2719reboundsRecent form
PHXMIN
MIN
Team comparison
| PHX | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-29 | Record | 41-27 |
| 112.7 | Points scored / game | 117.8 |
| 112.1 | Points allowed / game | 114.3 |
| +0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.0 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 17-16 road | Home / road record | 22-12 home |
| 36-46 (-3.0) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Suns
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.