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Suns vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Monday, December 8

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Phoenix Suns

14-10 · away

Final score

108-105

Projected: 112-118

Minnesota Timberwolves

15-9 · home

31% win PHXwin MIN 69%

FavoriteMIN

Projected margin6.2

Projected total231

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (15-8) host the Phoenix Suns (13-10) on Monday, December 8 at 7:30 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 108 – Timberwolves 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Timberwolves are 8-3 at home and the Suns are 5-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Timberwolves and 5-5 for the Suns (current streaks: Timberwolves W5, Suns L1).

The analysis Model

The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 118 – 112 Suns, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves

Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.4 / PHX +0.5 per game

+3.9

Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Timberwolves

+6.2

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+

38%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

28%

Suns win by 10+

10%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXMIN

115.3

Points scored / game

118.2

114.8

Points allowed / game

113.1

45.6 %

Field goal %

47.3 %

31.9 %

3-point %

38.4 %

39.7

3-pointers attempted / game

40.6

73.9 %

Free throw %

62.7 %

39.7

Rebounds / game

51.6

25.3

Assists / game

27.0

8.7

Steals / game

9.2

5.3

Blocks / game

4.4

14.0

Turnovers / game

16.2

Top performers

Suns

Mark WilliamsC · #2522pts / game

Royce O'NealeF · #005assists

Royce O'NealeF · #008rebounds

Timberwolves

Anthony EdwardsG · #540pts / game

Julius RandleF · #308assists

Anthony EdwardsG · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

PHX

No games played yet.

MIN

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHX		MIN
13-10	Record	15-8
115.3	Points scored / game	118.2
114.8	Points allowed / game	113.1
+0.5	Adjusted margin / game	+4.4
L1	Current streak	W5
5-5	Last 10 games	7-3
5-6 road	Home / road record	8-3 home
36-46 (-3.0)	Last season	49-33 (+5.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.