Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Jazz vs Kings prediction NBA · Sunday, March 15

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
20-48 · away
Final score
111-116
Projected: 117-118
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
18-51 · home
49% win UTAHwin SAC 51%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin0.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (17-51) host the Utah Jazz (20-47) on Sunday, March 15 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 111 – Kings 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 11-23 at home and the Jazz are 8-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Kings and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Kings W1, Jazz L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Kings 118 – 117 Jazz, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (116.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Kings' defense allows clearly fewer points (119.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -7.1 / UTAH -6.7 per game
-0.4
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
+0.3

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Jazz win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHSAC
116.5
Points scored / game
111.5
124.5
Points allowed / game
119.9
45.4 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
33.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.5
26.8
Assists / game
22.8
5.0
Steals / game
6.8
6.4
Blocks / game
2.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Jazz
Cody WilliamsF · #934pts / game
Cody WilliamsF · #97assists
Andersson GarciaG · #011rebounds
Kings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1041pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #1011assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHSAC
20-47Record17-51
116.5Points scored / game111.5
124.5Points allowed / game119.9
-6.7Adjusted margin / game-7.1
L2Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games5-5
8-25 roadHome / road record11-23 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.