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Jazz vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalGolden 1 Center · NBC Sports CA, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
1-1 · away
Final score
104-105
Projected: 112-120
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
1-1 · home
25% win UTAHwin SAC 75%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin8.4
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (0-1) host the Utah Jazz (1-0) on Friday, October 24 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 104 – Kings 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Kings and 1-0 for the Jazz (current streaks: Kings L1, Jazz W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Kings dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 120 – 112 Jazz, a margin of about 8.4 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.1 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC +0.1 / UTAH -6.0 per game
+6.1
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+8.4

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Jazz win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHSAC
113.2
Points scored / game
115.8
120.2
Points allowed / game
115.6
45.4 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
33.9 %
3-point %
30.0 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.5
26.8
Assists / game
22.8
5.0
Steals / game
6.8
6.4
Blocks / game
2.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2333pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #310assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3011rebounds
Kings
Zach LaVineG · #831pts / game
DeMar DeRozanG · #106assists
Domantas SabonisF · #1112rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHSAC
1-0Record0-1
113.2Points scored / game115.8
120.2Points allowed / game115.6
-6.0Adjusted margin / game+0.1
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games0-1
0-0 roadHome / road record0-0 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.