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Kings vs Jazz prediction NBA · Friday, November 28

FinalDelta Center · KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBC Sports CA, NBA League Pass
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
5-15 · away
Final score
119-128
Projected: 118-119
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
6-12 · home
47% win SACwin UTAH 53%
FavoriteUTAH
Projected margin1.1
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (5-12) host the Sacramento Kings (5-14) on Friday, November 28 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Kings 119 – Jazz 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Jazz a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 4-5 at home and the Kings are 2-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Jazz and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Jazz L4, Kings L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Jazz 119 – 118 Kings, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Jazz and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' defense allows clearly fewer points (120.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -7.0 / SAC -5.8 per game
-1.2
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
+1.1

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Kings win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison Current season

SACUTAH
113.2
Points scored / game
115.5
120.0
Points allowed / game
123.8
44.5 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
30.0 %
3-point %
33.9 %
32.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
73.1 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
41.5
Rebounds / game
46.8
22.8
Assists / game
26.8
6.8
Steals / game
5.0
2.5
Blocks / game
6.4
14.3
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Kings
Zach LaVineG · #834pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #1814assists
Russell WestbrookG · #1812rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #331pts / game
Jusuf NurkicC · #309assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3011rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SAC
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

SACUTAH
5-14Record5-12
113.2Points scored / game115.5
120.0Points allowed / game123.8
-5.8Adjusted margin / game-7.0
L1Current streakL4
2-8Last 10 games2-8
2-8 roadHome / road record4-5 home
40-42 (+0.5)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.