Nuggets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (41-25) host the Denver Nuggets (41-26) on Saturday, March 14 at 8:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 125 – Lakers 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 22-12 at home and the Nuggets are 23-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 5-5 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Lakers W4, Nuggets W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 117 – 118 Nuggets, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENLAL
Top performers
Nuggets
Aaron GordonF · #3227pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1514assistsNikola JokicC · #1516reboundsLakers
Austin ReavesG · #1532pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7713assistsLuka DoncicG · #7711reboundsRecent form
DENLAL
LAL
Team comparison
| DEN | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 41-26 | Record | 41-25 |
| 120.6 | Points scored / game | 115.9 |
| 116.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.7 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 23-13 road | Home / road record | 22-12 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.