Lakers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Thursday, March 5
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (38-24) host the Los Angeles Lakers (37-24) on Thursday, March 5 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 113 – Nuggets 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 16-12 at home and the Lakers are 19-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Lakers W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 114 Lakers, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALDEN
Top performers
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7727pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #238assistsLuka DoncicG · #7711reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1528pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1513assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsRecent form
LALDEN
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-24 | Record | 38-24 |
| 115.4 | Points scored / game | 120.5 |
| 114.7 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| +0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 19-12 road | Home / road record | 16-12 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.