Wizards vs Celtics prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (43-23) host the Washington Wizards (16-49) on Saturday, March 14 at 6:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 100 – Celtics 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 93% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 21-10 at home and the Wizards are 5-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 0-10 for the Wizards (current streaks: Celtics L2, Wizards L10).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 123 – 105 Wizards, a margin of about 18.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.4 vs -9.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHBOS
Top performers
Wizards
Tristan VukcevicF · #0022pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #78assists
Jamir WatkinsG · #56reboundsCeltics
Neemias QuetaC · #8824pts / game
Jayson TatumF · #07assistsJayson TatumF · #014reboundsRecent form
WSHBOS
WSH
Team comparison
| WSH | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-49 | Record | 43-23 |
| 112.1 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 123.3 | Points allowed / game | 107.1 |
| -9.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.4 |
| L10 | Current streak | L2 |
| 0-10 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 5-27 road | Home / road record | 21-10 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.