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Celtics vs Wizards prediction NBA · Thursday, December 4

FinalCapital One Arena · MNMT, NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass
87% win BOSwin WSH 13%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin14.4
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (3-17) host the Boston Celtics (12-9) on Thursday, December 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 146 – Wizards 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 87% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 2-6 at home and the Celtics are 5-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Wizards L1, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Wizards 108 – 122 Celtics, a margin of about 14.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-11.6 vs +5.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards
Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -11.6 / BOS +5.0 per game
-16.7
Home-court advantageWizards at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Wizards
-14.4

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+
3%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
17%
Celtics win by 10+
64%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSWSH
115.6
Points scored / game
111.0
109.7
Points allowed / game
124.7
46.5 %
Field goal %
48.0 %
38.6 %
3-point %
28.5 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
31.6
76.0 %
Free throw %
83.1 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
40.0
27.8
Assists / game
25.8
9.0
Steals / game
7.4
3.8
Blocks / game
5.6
15.5
Turnovers / game
13.6

Top performers

Celtics
Derrick WhiteG · #930pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #99assists
Derrick WhiteG · #97rebounds
Wizards
CJ McCollumG · #322pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #224assists
Justin ChampagnieF · #97rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
WSH
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSWSH
12-9Record3-17
115.6Points scored / game111.0
109.7Points allowed / game124.7
+5.0Adjusted margin / game-11.6
W2Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games2-8
5-5 roadHome / road record2-6 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season18-64 (-12.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.