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Wizards vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalTD Garden · MNMT, MNMT2, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
1-7 · away
Final score
107-136
Projected: 104-123
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
4-5 · home
7% win WSHwin BOS 93%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin18.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (3-5) host the Washington Wizards (1-6) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 107 – Celtics 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 93% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 1-3 at home and the Wizards are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Celtics and 1-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Celtics L2, Wizards L5).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 123 – 104 Wizards, a margin of about 18.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -11.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (114.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +4.9 / WSH -11.2 per game
+16.1
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+18.4

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
75%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
11%
Wizards win by 10+
1%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHBOS
109.7
Points scored / game
114.0
122.9
Points allowed / game
108.1
48.0 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
28.5 %
3-point %
38.6 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
83.1 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
44.3
25.8
Assists / game
27.8
7.4
Steals / game
9.0
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
13.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2031pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #76assists
Alex SarrC · #208rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #735pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

WSHBOS
1-6Record3-5
109.7Points scored / game114.0
122.9Points allowed / game108.1
-11.2Adjusted margin / game+4.9
L5Current streakL2
1-6Last 10 games3-5
1-3 roadHome / road record1-3 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.