Wizards vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (3-5) host the Washington Wizards (1-6) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 107 – Celtics 136. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 93% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 1-3 at home and the Wizards are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for the Celtics and 1-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Celtics L2, Wizards L5).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 123 – 104 Wizards, a margin of about 18.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -11.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (114.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
WSHBOS
Top performers
Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2031pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #76assists
Alex SarrC · #208rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #735pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812reboundsRecent form
WSH
BOSTeam comparison
| WSH | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-6 | Record | 3-5 |
| 109.7 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 122.9 | Points allowed / game | 108.1 |
| -11.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L5 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-6 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 18-64 (-12.4) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Wizards
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
WSH