Bucks vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 14
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (35-31) host the Milwaukee Bucks (27-38) on Saturday, March 14 at 3:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 99 – Hawks 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 17-16 at home and the Bucks are 12-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hawks and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Hawks W8, Bucks L3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Hawks, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hawks 118 – 113 Bucks, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILATL
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1322pts / gameRyan RollinsG · #138assists
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #77reboundsHawks
CJ McCollumG · #330pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #112assistsJalen JohnsonF · #110reboundsRecent form
MILATL
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-38 | Record | 35-31 |
| 111.7 | Points scored / game | 117.7 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 117.3 |
| -3.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| L3 | Current streak | W8 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 9-1 |
| 12-20 road | Home / road record | 17-16 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.