Hawks vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, March 4
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (26-34) host the Atlanta Hawks (31-31) on Wednesday, March 4 at 9:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 131 – Bucks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 14-15 at home and the Hawks are 17-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Bucks L3, Hawks W4).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 115 – 116 Hawks, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLMIL
Top performers
Hawks
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #723pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #19assists
Dyson DanielsG · #510reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #724pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #1312assists
Jericho SimsC · #0011reboundsRecent form
ATLMIL
MIL
Team comparison
| ATL | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-31 | Record | 26-34 |
| 117.5 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 117.7 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| -0.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 17-15 road | Home / road record | 14-15 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.