Grizzlies vs Pistons prediction NBA · Friday, March 13
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (47-18) host the Memphis Grizzlies (23-42) on Friday, March 13 at 7:30 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 110 – Pistons 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 25-8 at home and the Grizzlies are 11-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pistons and 2-8 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Pistons W2, Grizzlies L6).
The analysis Model
The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 119 – 110 Grizzlies, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pistons and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMDET
Top performers
Grizzlies
Javon SmallG · #1023pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #245assists
DeJon JarreauG · #777reboundsPistons
Jalen DurenC · #030pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #215assistsJalen DurenC · #013reboundsRecent form
MEMDET
DET
Team comparison
| MEM | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-42 | Record | 47-18 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 118.1 | Points allowed / game | 110.2 |
| -1.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| L6 | Current streak | W2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 11-22 road | Home / road record | 25-8 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.