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Pistons vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Monday, November 3

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
5-2 · away
Final score
114-106
Projected: 116-117
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
3-5 · home
50% win DETwin MEM 50%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin0.1
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (3-4) host the Detroit Pistons (4-2) on Monday, November 3 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 114 – Grizzlies 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 2-2 at home and the Pistons are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-4 for the Grizzlies and 4-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Pistons W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 116 Pistons, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +1.2 / DET +1.8 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Back-to-backGrizzlies played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+0.1

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Pistons win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

DETMEM
115.7
Points scored / game
119.9
113.6
Points allowed / game
118.5
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
37.9 %
3-point %
39.1 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
74.4 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
50.0
27.0
Assists / game
25.0
8.0
Steals / game
6.3
7.2
Blocks / game
6.3
15.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #233pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #28assists
Isaiah StewartC · #2814rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2021pts / game
Ja MorantG · #110assists
Charles BasseyC · #2810rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DET lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DETMEM
4-2Record3-4
115.7Points scored / game119.9
113.6Points allowed / game118.5
+1.8Adjusted margin / game+1.2
W2Current streakL2
4-2Last 10 games3-4
1-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.