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Timberwolves vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

Finalcrypto.com Arena · NBC, Peacock, Spectrum Sports Net
52% win MINwin LAL 48%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin0.6
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (39-25) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-24) on Tuesday, March 10 at 11:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 106 – Lakers 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 20-12 at home and the Timberwolves are 18-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 8-2 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Lakers W2, Timberwolves L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 115 – 116 Timberwolves, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.8 / MIN +3.6 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-0.6

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

MINLAL
117.9
Points scored / game
115.5
113.6
Points allowed / game
114.6
47.3 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
38.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
62.7 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
9.2
Steals / game
10.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3014pts / game
Anthony EdwardsG · #54assists
Rudy GobertC · #2712rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7731pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7711assists
Deandre AytonC · #812rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINLAL
40-24Record39-25
117.9Points scored / game115.5
113.6Points allowed / game114.6
+3.6Adjusted margin / game+0.8
L1Current streakW2
8-2Last 10 games6-4
18-12 roadHome / road record20-12 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.