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Timberwolves vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

Finalcrypto.com Arena · Prime Video
55% win MINwin LAL 45%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin1.6
Projected total225
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (0-1) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (1-0) on Friday, October 24 at 10:00 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 110 – Lakers 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 0-1 at home and the Timberwolves are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Lakers and 1-0 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Lakers L1, Timberwolves W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 112 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.6 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.3 / MIN +4.2 per game
-3.9
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-1.6

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

MINLAL
114.6
Points scored / game
113.1
109.7
Points allowed / game
112.7
47.3 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
38.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
62.7 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
9.2
Steals / game
10.8
4.4
Blocks / game
5.8
16.2
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #531pts / game
Julius RandleF · #306assists
Julius RandleF · #309rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7749pts / game
Austin ReavesG · #1511assists
Luka DoncicG · #7711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MINLAL
1-0Record0-1
114.6Points scored / game113.1
109.7Points allowed / game112.7
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+0.3
W1Current streakL1
1-0Last 10 games0-1
1-0 roadHome / road record0-1 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.