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Pistons vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 10

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN DET Ext, NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
46-18 · away
Final score
138-100
Projected: 117-106
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
17-48 · home
82% win DETwin BKN 18%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin11.5
Projected total223
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (17-47) host the Detroit Pistons (45-18) on Tuesday, March 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 138 – Nets 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 82% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 9-22 at home and the Pistons are 21-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 5-5 for the Pistons (current streaks: Nets W2, Pistons L4).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 106 – 117 Pistons, a margin of about 11.5 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-7.0 vs +5.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (116.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -7.0 / DET +5.2 per game
-12.2
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-11.5

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
4%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Pistons win by 10+
55%

Stat comparison Current season

DETBKN
116.5
Points scored / game
106.8
110.4
Points allowed / game
115.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
37.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
74.4 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.0
Assists / game
24.0
8.0
Steals / game
10.0
7.2
Blocks / game
4.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #026pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #215assists
Isaiah StewartC · #288rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1719pts / game
Ben SarafG · #776assists
Danny WolfF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETBKN
45-18Record17-47
116.5Points scored / game106.8
110.4Points allowed / game115.0
+5.2Adjusted margin / game-7.0
L4Current streakW2
5-5Last 10 games2-8
21-10 roadHome / road record9-22 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.