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Nets vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, March 7

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN DET
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
16-47 · away
Final score
107-105
Projected: 105-120
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
45-17 · home
11% win BKNwin DET 89%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin15.1
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (45-16) host the Brooklyn Nets (15-47) on Saturday, March 7 at 6:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 107 – Pistons 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 89% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 24-7 at home and the Nets are 7-25 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 0-10 for the Nets (current streaks: Pistons L2, Nets L10).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 120 – 105 Nets, a margin of about 15.1 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.5 vs -7.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +5.5 / BKN -7.3 per game
+12.8
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+15.1

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
66%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
16%
Nets win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNDET
106.6
Points scored / game
116.7
115.2
Points allowed / game
110.3
42.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
37.9 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
76.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.0
Assists / game
27.0
10.0
Steals / game
8.0
4.0
Blocks / game
7.2
17.5
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1730pts / game
Day'Ron SharpeC · #204assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1713rebounds
Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2318pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #249assists
Jalen DurenC · #014rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNDET
15-47Record45-16
106.6Points scored / game116.7
115.2Points allowed / game110.3
-7.3Adjusted margin / game+5.5
L10Current streakL2
0-10Last 10 games7-3
7-25 roadHome / road record24-7 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.