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Nets vs Pistons prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN DET
15% win BKNwin DET 85%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin12.9
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (35-12) host the Brooklyn Nets (13-34) on Sunday, February 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 77 – Pistons 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 19-5 at home and the Nets are 7-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Pistons and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Pistons W1, Nets W1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Pistons dominate this matchup. The model projects Pistons 119 – 106 Nets, a margin of about 12.9 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.8 vs -5.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.8 / BKN -5.7 per game
+10.6
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+12.9

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
59%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Nets win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNDET
107.2
Points scored / game
116.7
113.9
Points allowed / game
111.1
42.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
37.9 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
76.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.0
Assists / game
27.0
10.0
Steals / game
8.0
4.0
Blocks / game
7.2
17.5
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2412pts / game
Danny WolfF · #24assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2011rebounds
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #021pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #212assists
Jalen DurenC · #010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNDET
13-34Record35-12
107.2Points scored / game116.7
113.9Points allowed / game111.1
-5.7Adjusted margin / game+4.8
W1Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
7-17 roadHome / road record19-5 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.