Mavericks vs Raptors prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (35-27) host the Dallas Mavericks (21-42) on Sunday, March 8 at 6:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 92 – Raptors 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 16-16 at home and the Mavericks are 7-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Raptors and 2-8 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Raptors L2, Mavericks L6).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Mavericks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 117 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALTOR
Top performers
Mavericks
Daniel GaffordF · #2121pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #326assists
Daniel GaffordF · #2111rebounds
Raptors
RJ BarrettF · #931pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assists
Jakob PoeltlC · #1910reboundsRecent form
DAL
TORTeam comparison
| DAL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-42 | Record | 35-27 |
| 113.4 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 117.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.5 |
| -3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.5 |
| L6 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 7-23 road | Home / road record | 16-16 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
TOR