Raptors vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (0-2) host the Toronto Raptors (1-1) on Sunday, October 26 at 7:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 129 – Mavericks 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 0-2 at home and the Raptors are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-2 for the Mavericks and 1-1 for the Raptors (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Raptors L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 115 – 114 Raptors, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORDAL
Top performers
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #433pts / game
Jamal SheadG · #238assistsScottie BarnesF · #411reboundsMavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2325pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG6assistsAnthony DavisF · #2310reboundsRecent form
TORDAL
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 112.1 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 116.2 |
| -2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-1 | Last 10 games | 0-2 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.