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Celtics vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, March 8

FinalRocket Arena · ABC
50% win BOSwin CLE 50%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin0.0
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-24) host the Boston Celtics (42-21) on Sunday, March 8 at 1:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 109 – Cavaliers 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 21-11 at home and the Celtics are 21-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Cavaliers W2, Celtics W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Cavaliers 115 – 114 Celtics, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.3 / BOS +6.6 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+0.0

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSCLE
114.8
Points scored / game
119.6
107.0
Points allowed / game
114.5
46.5 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
38.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
76.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.8
Assists / game
26.3
9.0
Steals / game
8.8
3.8
Blocks / game
7.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #723pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #78assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8811rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
James HardenG · #110assists
Evan MobleyC · #48rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSCLE
42-21Record39-24
114.8Points scored / game119.6
107.0Points allowed / game114.5
+6.6Adjusted margin / game+4.3
W1Current streakW2
8-2Last 10 games7-3
21-11 roadHome / road record21-11 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.