Cavaliers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (1-3) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-1) on Wednesday, October 29 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 105 – Celtics 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 0-1 at home and the Cavaliers are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Celtics and 3-1 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Celtics W1, Cavaliers W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Celtics 115 – 113 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEBOS
Top performers
Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #419pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assistsEvan MobleyC · #411reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #1110assists
Josh MinottF · #0015reboundsRecent form
CLEBOS
CLE
Team comparison
| CLE | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 1-3 |
| 121.2 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 112.5 | Points allowed / game | 107.3 |
| +7.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-1 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 0-1 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.