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Celtics vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, November 30

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass
39% win BOSwin CLE 61%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin3.6
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (12-8) host the Boston Celtics (10-9) on Sunday, November 30 at 6:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 117 – Cavaliers 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 8-3 at home and the Celtics are 4-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Celtics (current streaks: Cavaliers L2, Celtics L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Celtics have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Cavaliers 116 – 112 Celtics, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.9 / BOS +5.1 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCeltics played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+3.6

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSCLE
115.4
Points scored / game
120.1
109.3
Points allowed / game
114.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
38.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
76.0 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
27.8
Assists / game
26.3
9.0
Steals / game
8.8
3.8
Blocks / game
7.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1142pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #711assists
Jaylen BrownG · #712rebounds
Cavaliers
Evan MobleyC · #427pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #108assists
Evan MobleyC · #414rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSCLE
10-9Record12-8
115.4Points scored / game120.1
109.3Points allowed / game114.4
+5.1Adjusted margin / game+4.9
L1Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games5-5
4-5 roadHome / road record8-3 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.