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Clippers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Saturday, March 7

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
31-32 · away
Final score
123-120
Projected: 113-115
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
23-39 · home
43% win LACwin MEM 57%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin2.2
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (23-38) host the LA Clippers (30-32) on Saturday, March 7 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 123 – Grizzlies 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 57% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 12-18 at home and the Clippers are 14-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 5-5 for the Clippers (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Clippers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -0.8 / LAC +0.9 per game
-1.7
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+2.2

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Clippers win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

LACMEM
112.5
Points scored / game
116.6
111.5
Points allowed / game
117.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
39.0 %
3-point %
39.1 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
50.0
25.0
Assists / game
25.0
12.5
Steals / game
6.3
4.5
Blocks / game
6.3
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #228pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #106assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2312rebounds
Grizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #223pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #27assists
Cedric CowardF · #237rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACMEM
30-32Record23-38
112.5Points scored / game116.6
111.5Points allowed / game117.6
+0.9Adjusted margin / game-0.8
L1Current streakL2
5-5Last 10 games3-7
14-19 roadHome / road record12-18 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.