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Grizzlies vs Clippers prediction NBA · Friday, November 28

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SoCal
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
8-12 · away
Final score
112-107
Projected: 114-116
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
5-14 · home
46% win MEMwin LAC 54%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin1.4
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (5-13) host the Memphis Grizzlies (7-12) on Friday, November 28 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 112 – Clippers 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 3-5 at home and the Grizzlies are 3-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Clippers and 4-6 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Clippers L2, Grizzlies W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Clippers 116 – 114 Grizzlies, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -1.5 / MEM -0.6 per game
-0.9
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+1.4

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Grizzlies win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

MEMLAC
116.6
Points scored / game
112.5
117.3
Points allowed / game
114.2
45.3 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
39.1 %
3-point %
39.0 %
37.8
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
82.8 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
50.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
25.0
Assists / game
25.0
6.3
Steals / game
12.5
6.3
Blocks / game
4.5
15.5
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2024pts / game
Vince Williams Jr.G · #05assists
Zach EdeyC · #1419rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #239pts / game
James HardenG · #111assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEM
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MEMLAC
7-12Record5-13
116.6Points scored / game112.5
117.3Points allowed / game114.2
-0.6Adjusted margin / game-1.5
W1Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games2-8
3-6 roadHome / road record3-5 home
48-34 (+4.9)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.