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Clippers vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, December 5

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass
39% win LACwin MEM 61%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (9-13) host the LA Clippers (6-16) on Friday, December 5 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 98 – Grizzlies 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 4-6 at home and the Clippers are 3-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Grizzlies and 2-8 for the Clippers (current streaks: Grizzlies L1, Clippers W1).

The analysis Model

The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 113 Clippers, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' offense (116.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -0.4 / LAC -1.4 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+3.3

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Clippers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

LACMEM
112.6
Points scored / game
116.5
114.3
Points allowed / game
116.9
45.9 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
39.0 %
3-point %
39.1 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
78.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
50.0
25.0
Assists / game
25.0
12.5
Steals / game
6.3
4.5
Blocks / game
6.3
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #224pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds
Grizzlies
Cedric CowardF · #2323pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #247assists
Cedric CowardF · #2314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACMEM
6-16Record9-13
112.6Points scored / game116.5
114.3Points allowed / game116.9
-1.4Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W1Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games5-5
3-9 roadHome / road record4-6 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.