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Knicks vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, February 27

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
62% win NYwin MIL 38%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.9
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (26-31) host the New York Knicks (38-22) on Friday, February 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 127 – Bucks 98. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 14-13 at home and the Knicks are 15-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Knicks (current streaks: Bucks W2, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Bucks have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 112 – 116 Knicks, a margin of about 3.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.8 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -1.8 / NY +4.5 per game
-6.2
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
-3.9

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

NYMIL
117.0
Points scored / game
112.9
111.7
Points allowed / game
115.0
42.2 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
49.8
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
5.8
4.4
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1127pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #256assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213rebounds
Bucks
Myles TurnerC · #319pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #710assists
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #76rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYMIL
38-22Record26-31
117.0Points scored / game112.9
111.7Points allowed / game115.0
+4.5Adjusted margin / game-1.8
L1Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games8-2
15-14 roadHome / road record14-13 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.