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Knicks vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, October 28

FinalFiserv Forum · NBC, Peacock
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
2-2 · away
Final score
111-121
Projected: 113-115
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
3-1 · home
45% win NYwin MIL 55%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin1.4
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (2-1) host the New York Knicks (2-1) on Tuesday, October 28 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 111 – Bucks 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 1-0 at home and the Knicks are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Bucks and 2-1 for the Knicks (current streaks: Bucks L1, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 115 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL +2.5 / NY +3.4 per game
-0.9
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+1.4

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

NYMIL
114.7
Points scored / game
116.9
110.7
Points allowed / game
114.0
42.2 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.0 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
49.8
26.8
Assists / game
24.6
7.2
Steals / game
5.8
4.4
Blocks / game
4.0
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1136pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #256assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3212rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #737pts / game
Cole AnthonyG · #509assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #78rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

NYMIL
2-1Record2-1
114.7Points scored / game116.9
110.7Points allowed / game114.0
+3.4Adjusted margin / game+2.5
L1Current streakL1
2-1Last 10 games2-1
0-1 roadHome / road record1-0 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.