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Bucks vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, November 28

FinalMadison Square Garden · Prime Video
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
8-12 · away
Final score
109-118
Projected: 112-120
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
12-6 · home
27% win MILwin NY 73%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin7.7
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (11-6) host the Milwaukee Bucks (8-11) on Friday, November 28 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 109 – Knicks 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 73% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 8-1 at home and the Bucks are 3-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Knicks and 2-8 for the Bucks (current streaks: Knicks W2, Bucks L6).

The analysis Model

The Knicks start with a clear edge. The model projects Knicks 120 – 112 Bucks, a margin of about 7.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.7 vs -0.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.7 / MIL -0.7 per game
+5.4
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+7.7

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
43%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Bucks win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

MILNY
115.7
Points scored / game
118.7
116.5
Points allowed / game
113.2
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.0 %
3-point %
35.9 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
48.2
24.6
Assists / game
26.8
5.8
Steals / game
7.2
4.0
Blocks / game
4.4
16.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #730pts / game
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #78assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #715rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1137pts / game
Josh HartG · #37assists
Josh HartG · #315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILNY
8-11Record11-6
115.7Points scored / game118.7
116.5Points allowed / game113.2
-0.7Adjusted margin / game+4.7
L6Current streakW2
2-8Last 10 games7-3
3-5 roadHome / road record8-1 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.