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Nets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, February 27

FinalTD Garden · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports BO
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
15-44 · away
Final score
111-148
Projected: 102-119
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
39-20 · home
9% win BKNwin BOS 91%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin16.8
Projected total220
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (38-20) host the Brooklyn Nets (15-43) on Friday, February 27 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Nets 111 – Celtics 148. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 18-9 at home and the Nets are 7-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Celtics L1, Nets L6).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 119 – 102 Nets, a margin of about 16.8 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 220 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+6.2 vs -6.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (114.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.2 / BKN -6.7 per game
+12.9
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Celtics
+16.8

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
71%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
13%
Nets win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNBOS
106.6
Points scored / game
114.7
114.6
Points allowed / game
107.4
42.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.6 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.0
Assists / game
27.8
10.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
3.8
17.5
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1718pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #107assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #205rebounds
Celtics
Nikola VucevicC · #928pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #79assists
Nikola VucevicC · #911rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNBOS
15-43Record38-20
106.6Points scored / game114.7
114.6Points allowed / game107.4
-6.7Adjusted margin / game+6.2
L6Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games8-2
7-22 roadHome / road record18-9 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.