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Celtics vs Nets prediction NBA · Friday, January 23

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
28-16 · away
Final score
130-126
Projected: 117-107
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
12-31 · home
78% win BOSwin BKN 22%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin9.7
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (12-30) host the Boston Celtics (27-16) on Friday, January 23 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 130 – Nets 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 6-16 at home and the Celtics are 14-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 6-4 for the Celtics (current streaks: Nets L3, Celtics W1).

The analysis Model

The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Nets 107 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.7 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -5.7 / BOS +6.3 per game
-12.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-9.7

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Celtics win by 10+
49%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSBKN
116.7
Points scored / game
107.3
109.3
Points allowed / game
114.0
46.5 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
38.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
76.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.8
Assists / game
24.0
9.0
Steals / game
10.0
3.8
Blocks / game
4.0
15.5
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Celtics
Payton PritchardG · #1132pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #712assists
Jaylen BrownG · #710rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1730pts / game
Michael Porter Jr.F · #174assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #99rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSBKN
27-16Record12-30
116.7Points scored / game107.3
109.3Points allowed / game114.0
+6.3Adjusted margin / game-5.7
W1Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games2-8
14-9 roadHome / road record6-16 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.