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Nets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, November 21

FinalTD Garden · NBC Sports BO, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
3-12 · away
Final score
113-105
Projected: 104-120
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
8-8 · home
10% win BKNwin BOS 90%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin16.3
Projected total224
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (8-7) host the Brooklyn Nets (2-12) on Friday, November 21 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Nets 113 – Celtics 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 90% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 4-3 at home and the Nets are 2-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Celtics W3, Nets L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 120 – 104 Nets, a margin of about 16.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+5.9 vs -8.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' offense (114.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.9 / BKN -8.1 per game
+14.0
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+16.3

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
69%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
14%
Nets win by 10+
2%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNBOS
107.6
Points scored / game
114.9
117.1
Points allowed / game
107.9
42.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.6 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.0
Assists / game
27.8
10.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
3.8
17.5
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1733pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #912assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #911rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #726pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #74assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNBOS
2-12Record8-7
107.6Points scored / game114.9
117.1Points allowed / game107.9
-8.1Adjusted margin / game+5.9
L1Current streakW3
2-8Last 10 games6-4
2-5 roadHome / road record4-3 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.