Warriors vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (21-35) host the Golden State Warriors (30-28) on Wednesday, February 25 at 7:30 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 133 – Grizzlies 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 54% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 12-16 at home and the Warriors are 11-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Grizzlies L2, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Grizzlies 116 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Warriors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSMEM
Top performers
Warriors
Will RichardG · #321pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #619assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #28reboundsGrizzlies
GG JacksonF · #4524pts / game
Ty JeromeG · #25assistsGG JacksonF · #458reboundsRecent form
GSMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| GS | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-28 | Record | 21-35 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.7 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 11-17 road | Home / road record | 12-16 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.