Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction NBA · Monday, October 27
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (2-1) host the Memphis Grizzlies (2-1) on Monday, October 27 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 118 – Warriors 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 1-0 at home. Since the start of the season: 2-1 for the Warriors and 2-1 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Warriors L1, Grizzlies W1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Warriors 118 – 117 Grizzlies, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (122.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMGS
Top performers
Grizzlies
Ja MorantG · #123pts / gameJa MorantG · #19assists
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #207reboundsWarriors
Jonathan KumingaF · #2425pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #2310assistsJonathan KumingaF · #2410reboundsRecent form
MEMGS
MEM
Team comparison
| MEM | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 122.0 | Points scored / game | 116.0 |
| 118.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.7 |
| +3.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-1 | Last 10 games | 2-1 |
| 0-0 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.