Warriors vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24


At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (16-42) host the Golden State Warriors (30-27) on Tuesday, February 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 109 – Pelicans 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 10-21 at home and the Warriors are 11-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pelicans and 4-6 for the Warriors (current streaks: Pelicans W1, Warriors W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 118 Warriors, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-5.4 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSNO
Top performers
Warriors
De'Anthony MeltonG · #828pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assists
Brandin PodziemskiG · #215rebounds
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #126pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #05assists
Karlo MatkovicF · #178reboundsRecent form
GS
NOTeam comparison
| GS | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-27 | Record | 16-42 |
| 115.3 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 113.3 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 11-16 road | Home / road record | 10-21 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
GS