Warriors vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (2-10) host the Golden State Warriors (8-6) on Sunday, November 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 124 – Pelicans 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 1-4 at home and the Warriors are 3-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: Pelicans L4, Warriors W2).
The analysis Model
The Warriors start with a clear edge. The model projects Pelicans 110 – 119 Warriors, a margin of about 8.7 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-9.5 vs +1.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSNO
Top performers
Warriors
Moses MoodyG · #432pts / game
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1010assists
Draymond GreenF · #2310reboundsPelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2520pts / game
Derik QueenC · #226assistsTrey Murphy IIIF · #258reboundsRecent form
GSNO
GS
Team comparison
| GS | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-6 | Record | 2-10 |
| 114.5 | Points scored / game | 109.1 |
| 112.7 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +1.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -9.5 |
| W2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 3-6 road | Home / road record | 1-4 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.