Pelicans vs Warriors prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (10-10) host the New Orleans Pelicans (3-16) on Saturday, November 29 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 96 – Warriors 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 84% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 6-2 at home and the Pelicans are 1-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Warriors and 1-9 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Warriors L1, Pelicans L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Warriors dominate this matchup. The model projects Warriors 121 – 109 Pelicans, a margin of about 12.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+1.4 vs -8.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' offense (114.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOGS
Top performers
Pelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #125pts / gameZion WilliamsonF · #14assists
Yves MissiC · #2110reboundsWarriors
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1024pts / gameJimmy Butler IIIF · #1010assists
Gary Payton IIG · #011reboundsRecent form
NOGS
GS
Team comparison
| NO | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-16 | Record | 10-10 |
| 110.8 | Points scored / game | 114.6 |
| 121.2 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| -8.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 1-7 road | Home / road record | 6-2 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.