Heat vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) host the Miami Heat (31-27) on Tuesday, February 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Heat 117 – Bucks 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 12-13 at home and the Heat are 14-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Bucks and 6-4 for the Heat (current streaks: Bucks L1, Heat W3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 114 – 116 Heat, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.0 vs +2.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIAMIL
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2426pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #28assists
Bam AdebayoC · #139reboundsBucks
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #732pts / gameKevin Porter Jr.G · #77assists
Jericho SimsC · #0010reboundsRecent form
MIAMILHead-to-head
MIA lead 2-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| MIA | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-27 | Record | 24-31 |
| 118.4 | Points scored / game | 112.6 |
| 115.7 | Points allowed / game | 114.9 |
| +2.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 14-16 road | Home / road record | 12-13 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.