Bucks vs Heat prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26
At a glance
The Miami Heat (12-6) host the Milwaukee Bucks (8-10) on Wednesday, November 26 at 7:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 103 – Heat 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Heat are 8-1 at home and the Bucks are 3-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Heat and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Heat W5, Bucks L5).
The analysis Model
The Heat are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Heat 120 – 114 Bucks, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILMIA
Top performers
Bucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1326pts / game
AJ GreenG · #208assists
Kyle KuzmaF · #1812reboundsHeat
Tyler HerroG · #1129pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #29assists
Bam AdebayoC · #1311reboundsRecent form
MILMIAHead-to-head
MIA lead 2-1 this season.
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 8-10 | Record | 12-6 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 118.6 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.8 |
| -0.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.2 |
| L5 | Current streak | W5 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 3-4 road | Home / road record | 8-1 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.