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Pistons vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21

FinalUnited Center · CHSN, FanDuel SN DET, NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
42-13 · away
Final score
126-110
Projected: 119-113
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
24-33 · home
70% win DETwin CHI 30%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin6.6
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (24-32) host the Detroit Pistons (41-13) on Saturday, February 21 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 126 – Bulls 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 70% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 15-13 at home and the Pistons are 19-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Bulls and 8-2 for the Pistons (current streaks: Bulls L7, Pistons W4).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bulls 113 – 119 Pistons, a margin of about 6.6 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-3.0 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.0 / DET +5.9 per game
-8.9
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
-6.6

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
9%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
Pistons win by 10+
39%

Stat comparison Current season

DETCHI
117.1
Points scored / game
116.7
110.1
Points allowed / game
120.2
45.9 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
37.9 %
3-point %
27.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
74.4 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
24.4
8.0
Steals / game
9.0
7.2
Blocks / game
4.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #026pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #213assists
Jalen DurenC · #013rebounds
Bulls
Josh GiddeyG · #327pts / game
Guerschon YabuseleF · #288assists
Guerschon YabuseleF · #289rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETCHI
41-13Record24-32
117.1Points scored / game116.7
110.1Points allowed / game120.2
+5.9Adjusted margin / game-3.0
W4Current streakL7
8-2Last 10 games1-9
19-7 roadHome / road record15-13 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.