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Bulls vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET
22% win CHIwin DET 78%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin9.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (27-9) host the Chicago Bulls (17-19) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 93 – Pistons 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 14-3 at home and the Bulls are 7-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Pistons W2, Bulls L2).

The analysis Model

The Pistons start with a clear edge. The model projects Pistons 122 – 112 Bulls, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.7 vs -2.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +4.7 / CHI -2.8 per game
+7.4
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+9.7

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
49%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
23%
Bulls win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIDET
117.8
Points scored / game
118.0
121.0
Points allowed / game
112.5
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.4
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.0
4.8
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Bulls
Ayo DosunmuG · #1324pts / game
Tre JonesG · #3012assists
Nikola VucevicC · #916rebounds
Pistons
Isaiah StewartC · #2831pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #2415assists
Ausar ThompsonG · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIDET
17-19Record27-9
117.8Points scored / game118.0
121.0Points allowed / game112.5
-2.8Adjusted margin / game+4.7
L2Current streakW2
6-4Last 10 games6-4
7-10 roadHome / road record14-3 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.