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Bulls vs Pistons prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · CHSN, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls
6-5 · away
Final score
113-124
Projected: 114-120
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
10-2 · home
32% win CHIwin DET 68%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin5.7
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (9-2) host the Chicago Bulls (6-4) on Wednesday, November 12 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 113 – Pistons 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 5-1 at home and the Bulls are 1-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Bulls (current streaks: Pistons W7, Bulls L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Bulls have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 120 – 114 Bulls, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +3.0 / CHI -0.4 per game
+3.4
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+5.7

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Bulls win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIDET
118.4
Points scored / game
116.7
118.9
Points allowed / game
113.2
42.1 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
27.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
78.6 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
46.8
24.4
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.0
4.8
Blocks / game
7.2
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Bulls
Matas BuzelisF · #1421pts / game
Tre JonesG · #305assists
Matas BuzelisF · #1414rebounds
Pistons
Paul ReedF · #728pts / game
Daniss JenkinsG · #2412assists
Paul ReedF · #713rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHIDET
6-4Record9-2
118.4Points scored / game116.7
118.9Points allowed / game113.2
-0.4Adjusted margin / game+3.0
L3Current streakW7
6-4Last 10 games9-1
1-3 roadHome / road record5-1 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.