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Clippers vs Lakers prediction NBA · Friday, February 20

Finalcrypto.com Arena · ESPN, Spectrum Sports Net, FanDuel SN SoCal
39% win LACwin LAL 61%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin3.6
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (33-21) host the LA Clippers (27-28) on Friday, February 20 at 10:15 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 122 – Lakers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 15-10 at home and the Clippers are 13-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Lakers W1, Clippers W2).

The analysis Model

The Lakers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 115 – 111 Clippers, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Clippers' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.2 / LAC +0.4 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backClippers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Lakers
+3.6

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Clippers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

LACLAL
112.1
Points scored / game
115.5
111.6
Points allowed / game
115.3
45.9 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
39.0 %
3-point %
39.2 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
25.0
Assists / game
24.0
12.5
Steals / game
10.8
4.5
Blocks / game
5.8
23.0
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #231pts / game
Kris DunnG · #88assists
Brook LopezC · #1110rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7738pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #7711assists
Deandre AytonC · #87rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACLAL
27-28Record33-21
112.1Points scored / game115.5
111.6Points allowed / game115.3
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W2Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
13-17 roadHome / road record15-10 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.