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Lakers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalIntuit Dome · FanDuel SN SoCal, Spectrum Sports Net, Spectrum Sports Net +, NBA TV
55% win LALwin LAC 45%
FavoriteLAL
Projected margin1.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (6-21) host the Los Angeles Lakers (19-7) on Saturday, December 20 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 88 – Clippers 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Lakers a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 3-8 at home and the Lakers are 12-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 1-9 for the Clippers and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Clippers L5, Lakers W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 114 – 115 Lakers, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Lakers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (117.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -2.4 / LAL +1.4 per game
-3.8
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-1.5

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

LALLAC
117.4
Points scored / game
111.5
115.7
Points allowed / game
114.3
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
39.0 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
24.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.8
Steals / game
12.5
5.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2336pts / game
Jake LaRaviaF · #126assists
Jake LaRaviaF · #1211rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #232pts / game
James HardenG · #110assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #212rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALLAC
19-7Record6-21
117.4Points scored / game111.5
115.7Points allowed / game114.3
+1.4Adjusted margin / game-2.4
W2Current streakL5
7-3Last 10 games1-9
12-3 roadHome / road record3-8 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.