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Lakers vs Clippers prediction NBA · Thursday, January 22

FinalIntuit Dome · Prime Video
43% win LALwin LAC 57%
FavoriteLAC
Projected margin2.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The LA Clippers (19-24) host the Los Angeles Lakers (26-16) on Thursday, January 22 at 10:00 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 104 – Clippers 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Clippers a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Clippers are 11-9 at home and the Lakers are 14-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Clippers and 5-5 for the Lakers (current streaks: Clippers L1, Lakers W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Clippers 115 – 113 Lakers, a margin of about 2.1 points in favor of the Clippers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Lakers' offense (115.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -0.1 / LAL +0.1 per game
-0.2
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
+2.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Lakers win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

LALLAC
115.6
Points scored / game
112.5
115.5
Points allowed / game
112.6
52.9 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
39.2 %
3-point %
39.0 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
79.1 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
40.8
24.0
Assists / game
25.0
10.8
Steals / game
12.5
5.8
Blocks / game
4.5
16.6
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7732pts / game
Luka DoncicG · #778assists
Luka DoncicG · #7711rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #224pts / game
James HardenG · #110assists
Ivica ZubacC · #4019rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALLAC
26-16Record19-24
115.6Points scored / game112.5
115.5Points allowed / game112.6
+0.1Adjusted margin / game-0.1
W2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games7-3
14-8 roadHome / road record11-9 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.