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Jazz vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, February 20

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, NBA League Pass
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
18-39 · away
Final score
114-123
Projected: 115-123
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
21-33 · home
25% win UTAHwin MEM 75%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin8.3
Projected total238
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-33) host the Utah Jazz (18-38) on Friday, February 20 at 7:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 114 – Grizzlies 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 11-15 at home and the Jazz are 7-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 3-7 for the Jazz (current streaks: Grizzlies L4, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Grizzlies dominate this matchup. The model projects Grizzlies 123 – 115 Jazz, a margin of about 8.3 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 238 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM -0.8 / UTAH -6.8 per game
+6.0
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+8.3

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
45%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Jazz win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHMEM
117.1
Points scored / game
116.5
125.1
Points allowed / game
117.4
45.4 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
33.9 %
3-point %
39.1 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
76.6 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
50.0
26.8
Assists / game
25.0
5.0
Steals / game
6.3
6.4
Blocks / game
6.3
17.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Jazz
Isaiah CollierG · #824pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #85assists
Cody WilliamsF · #99rebounds
Grizzlies
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #1823pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2410assists
Lawson LoveringC11rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Team comparison

UTAHMEM
18-38Record20-33
117.1Points scored / game116.5
125.1Points allowed / game117.4
-6.8Adjusted margin / game-0.8
L1Current streakL4
3-7Last 10 games2-8
7-20 roadHome / road record11-15 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.