Grizzlies vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (10-18) host the Memphis Grizzlies (13-16) on Tuesday, December 23 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 137 – Jazz 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 7-9 at home and the Grizzlies are 7-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Jazz L3, Grizzlies L2).
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 116 – 120 Grizzlies, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Jazz and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.8 vs +0.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMUTAH
Top performers
Grizzlies
Santi AldamaF · #3437pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #2413assists
GG JacksonF · #459reboundsJazz
Kyle FilipowskiF · #225pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #89assistsKyle FilipowskiF · #213reboundsRecent form
MEMUTAHHead-to-head
Tied 2-2 this season.
UTAH
Team comparison
| MEM | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-16 | Record | 10-18 |
| 116.5 | Points scored / game | 117.3 |
| 116.1 | Points allowed / game | 125.3 |
| +0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 7-8 road | Home / road record | 7-9 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.